Rarely do those who believe the end is near express any uncertainty. Harold Camping, speaking about the Rapture, said, “Beyond the shadow of a doubt, May 21 will be the date of the Rapture and the day of judgment.”1 Patrick Geryl, talking about a worldwide disaster on December 21, 2012 to coincide with the end of Maya calendar, remarked: “It’s not 99%, it’s 100%. 100%, it will happen. There is no doubt about this.”2 Al Gore said of anthropogenic climate change, “The science is settled.”
Of course, they can’t let doubt and uncertainty get in the way. Even if privately, behind closed doors, those proclaiming the end feel that they don’t have all the answers and they might be wrong, they could never admit that publicly. After all, their goal is to bring more followers to their cause—to convince them that there is a real danger. Among the camps mentioned above, their ultimate objectives may differ. It may be to buy a Doomsday bunker or other survivalist equipment, to raise donations, to save souls, or to gain support for a carbon credit cap-and-tax program. None of these can be fulfilled, however, without recruiting believers to the cause. For this to happen, the leaders of such movements must present themselves as being absolutely certain.
When people get taken in by these claims, they may become just as certain as the leaders appear to be. Marie Exley, one of Camping’s followers, sincerely believed in his Rapture date and explained how she felt: “I wish I could just be like everybody else, but it’s so much better to know that when the end comes, you’ll be safe.”3 Allison Warden, another of Camping’s followers, was so convinced that she started up a massive campaign including her own website, We CAN Know, at www.wecanknow.com. And as discussed earlier this month, many 2012ers have spent hundreds of thousands of their own dollars on food, shelter, and supplies in anticipation of December 21.
It’s well known that leaders of any movement or organization must appear confident in order to attract or maintain a following. The leaders of apocalyptic movements are no exception to this. Don’t be fooled by their confidence, however. No matter how cocksure they may appear on the surface, deep down, those making claims that the end is near have their doubts. They’re just too proud to admit it.
The only ones who are justified in feeling such confidence are those such as Bill Hudson, founder of the excellent debunker site 2012Hoax, or Bruce Cameron, the President of the Harold-Camping-You-Screwed-Up-Again Association.4 In addition, climate scientists such as David Evans5 and Roy W. Spencer6 deserve credit for discrediting much of the overhyped environmental hysteria concerning climate change. When it comes to fighting the misinformation and fear, doing it with confidence is appreciated.
References
- Newby, J. (2011, January 3). Religious group predicts end of days in May. The Examiner. Retrieved from http://www.examiner.com/conservative-in-spokane/religious-group-predicts-end-of-days-may
- CNBC (Producer). (2012, March 29). Apocalypse 2012 [Television broadcast]. Englewood Cliffs, NJ: CNBC. Transcript available: here.
- Breen, T. (2011, January 3). End of Days in May? Believers enter final stretch. MSNBC. Retrieved from
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/40885541/ns/us_news-life/t/end-days-may-believers-enter-final-stretch/ - Cameron, B. (2011, November 25). Camping out on the last night of the world. The Barrie Examiner. Retrieved from http://www.thebarrieexaminer.com/ArticleDisplay.aspx?e=3137668&archive=true
- Evans, D. (2008, July 18). No smoking hot spot. The Australian. Retrieved from http://www.theaustralian.com.au/news/no-smoking-hot-spot/story-e6frg73o-1111116945238
- Spencer, R. (2005, February 16). World warms to Kyoto, but research will save the day. USA Today. Retrieved from http://www.usatoday.com/news/opinion/2005-02-16-kyoto_x.htm
